6-0-1 last week. 35-30-3 on the season. Lines provided by DraftKings
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (+3.5)
Both teams are coming off walk-off losses last week. Both teams are thought of as top tier and the loss shouldn’t have happened so they are both hungry. It’s going to be close I’m going to take the points. Don’t know who wins but +3.5 is easy money to me.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (-1)
Pittsburgh’s offense is still a horrible experience for fans but they do look a smidge better. Cleveland is without Deshaun Watson and will turn to their rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The Tomlin versus rookies narrative is being thrown about but he’s been suspect the past few times against rookies (Baker and CJ). The Steelers’ opportunistic defense could be missing safety’s Minkah Fitzpatrick and Keanu Neal. I can’t bet against my team but it’s this line makes it hard. I’m going to take the Steelers and the point.
Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers (+10.5)
The Panthers do not look good. The Cowboys look very good. The Panthers do have the extra time of having played Thursday but that is their only advantage. Even Mike McCarthy seems better than Frank Reich. I cannot see a scenario where this game is close. Lay the 10.5.
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (-7)
The Jets are still a quarterback away from being good. Zach Wilson is still holding them back. The defense is still very good. The Bills made an offensive coordinator change for some reason. Is he the guy that puts the players out there for special teams? Is he in charge of the defensive backs getting 40-yard PIS? No, he’s expendable and a scapegoat for the real problem Sean McDermott. I don’t think the change helps but I don’t think the Jets win either. The defense keeps it close. Jets +7
Minnesota Vikings @ Denver Broncos (-2)
The Broncos lost by 50 this year, right? Where did this current team come from? Russell Wilson isn’t quite the guy he was in Seattle but he’s a long way from the guy he was last year. Vance Joseph has transformed a defense that gave up 70 points to something semi-NFL-like. Josh Dobbs was always a favorite of mine when he was in Pittsburgh and what he’s done is unthinkable. He can’t keep it up. I’m going to take the Broncos and lay the two.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
Patrick Mahomes has his best defense as a pro but it comes at a cost as he has his worst offense. Andy Reid is amazing coming off a bye and Philly knows that first hand. The secondary in Philadelphia is the weak point of its defense and got carved by Dak before their bye. I don’t know if Mahomes has the weapons to do that but when I second-guess him it bites me. The Chiefs at home get the win by a field goal at least.